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COGNITIVE BIAS Loss

Deprival Superreaction

Losses hurt approximately twice as much as equivalent gains please.

Key Principle

Recognize when loss aversion is driving irrational decisions.

Understanding Deprival Superreaction

Loss aversion is one of the most robust findings in behavioral economics. Losing $100 causes about twice as much psychological pain as gaining $100 causes pleasure. This asymmetry drives much seemingly irrational behavior.

We hold losing stocks too long, hoping to avoid "realizing" the loss. We stay in bad jobs because leaving feels like losing. We fight harder to keep what we have than to gain something new. We overvalue things simply because we own them (the endowment effect).

This also explains why people react so strongly to having things taken away—even things they barely used or valued. Near-misses feel worse than never having been close.

Real-World Examples

  • Holding losing investments while selling winners (disposition effect).
  • Staying in a bad situation to avoid the "loss" of leaving.
  • Overvaluing possessions simply because you own them.
  • Fighting harder to protect market share than to gain it.

How to Apply This

1

Ask: Would I make this same choice if I were starting fresh?

2

Set predetermined exit criteria before entering positions

3

Reframe losses as the cost of the lesson learned

4

Use the "overnight test": If you woke up without this, would you acquire it?

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Throwing good money after bad to avoid admitting a loss
  • Holding onto things just because you already have them
  • Making decisions to avoid loss rather than create gain
  • Letting fear of loss prevent appropriate risk-taking

Notable Quotes

"The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule."

— Warren Buffett